In seven hours or so Roger Federer and Australian young-gun Bernard Tomic will take to court. Tomic has pulled off some brilliant victories already in this tournament, coming back from two sets down against Verdasco and beating his nemesis Dolgopolov in five sets. Federer has looked pretty solid, as ever, and seems to be serving very well. For this reason, Tomic will find it very difficult to break Federer and so will have to be very solid on his own serve to remain competitive. First serve percentage is very important for Tomic.
I've heard that Federer was Tomic's boyhood idol (wow, that makes Federer seem old) and so there's the small possibility that the situation may overcome him, but I doubt it as Tomic hasn't appeared to be nervous or shifty in any of his long and close matches on one of the biggest stages in tennis. He's also played Federer once before in the Davis Cup - another big stage to compete on - and still managed to get one set off Federer.
Assuming both players come out and play like they have been so far in the tournament, I don't think Tomic will be able to pull off the upset in this match because I think Federer will just have too much game for him. He might be able to sneak a set but to get more than that he would have to keep a high level. Furthermore, Tomic has played a lot of tennis already in this tournament and Federer the opposite.
I'll go for Federer in three.
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